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Why Wall Street Can't Stop Buying SpaceX

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The Starry-eyed Speculation Surrounding SpaceX

In recent months, Wall Street has been abuzz with excitement over Elon Musk’s SpaceX, which went public in June to the largest IPO in history. Despite its stock price having cooled somewhat since its initial surge, analysts remain overwhelmingly bullish on the company’s growth potential, predicting it will become a major player in the artificial intelligence sector.

SpaceX’s expansion beyond rocket launches and satellite deployment has garnered significant attention from investors. While Starlink, its satellite internet service, is profitable, the space segment, which includes Falcon rockets, remains unprofitable. However, it’s the AI segment that has caught investors’ attention, with some predicting it will become a major driver of growth for the company in the coming years.

SpaceX generates most of its revenue from Starlink, but as the company invests and acquires more in its AI unit, losses from this division are eroding profits from Starlink. In fact, SpaceX’s overall revenue rose 33% to $18.7 billion in 2025, but at a price-to-sales ratio of 76 times trailing sales, the company still looks expensive.

Analysts predict that SpaceX will become a major player in AI, with revenue rising more than sevenfold to $141.6 billion by 2028 and net income growing more than five times to $47.1 billion in the same year. This acceleration is expected to be driven initially by Starship, SpaceX’s largest rocket ever, and the expansion of Starlink.

The implications of SpaceX’s potential rise to prominence are significant. If it achieves its vision of unifying terrestrial data centers, solar-powered orbital data centers, and xAI’s AI infrastructure and generative AI tools, it will offer end-to-end services for space transportation, internet satellites, and AI infrastructure. This would create a new market leader and have far-reaching consequences for the wider tech industry.

Companies currently investing heavily in AI research and development may face increased competition from a company with a proven track record in space exploration and satellite internet services. However, there are also risks involved, as investors often get caught up in the hype surrounding new technologies.

SpaceX’s meteoric rise has defied expectations at every turn, from its humble beginnings as a private space exploration company to its current status as one of the most valuable companies in the world. What drives this ambition? Is it simply a desire to push the boundaries of human knowledge and exploration, or is there something more at play?

For some, Elon Musk’s vision for SpaceX is revolutionary. By unifying its data centers and AI infrastructure, the company will offer end-to-end services for space transportation, internet satellites, and AI infrastructure. This would create a new market leader and have far-reaching consequences for the wider tech industry.

However, there are also those who question whether SpaceX can deliver on its promises. As Nvidia’s meteoric rise in 2009 showed, investors often get caught up in the hype surrounding new technologies. If SpaceX fails to deliver, it could be a costly lesson for those who have invested heavily in the company.

Artificial intelligence has become an integral part of our daily lives, from chatbots and virtual assistants to self-driving cars and smart homes. What does this mean for the future of work? Will AI create new opportunities or simply displace existing jobs?

SpaceX’s plans to expand its AI unit raise important questions about the role of human workers in developing AI technologies. If SpaceX can unify its data centers and AI infrastructure, it will be in a unique position to offer end-to-end services for space transportation, internet satellites, and AI infrastructure.

The rewards of investing in space are certainly high, but so too are the risks. As we watch this story unfold over the coming years, one thing is certain: if SpaceX can deliver on its vision, it will be remembered as one of the most ambitious and innovative companies of our time.

Reader Views

  • CS
    Correspondent S. Tan · field correspondent

    The astronomical valuation of SpaceX is based on a fragile assumption: that its AI ambitions will suddenly take off and catapult the company into a multitrillion-dollar behemoth. But what if Musk's AI vision is just that – a vision? The space industry is notorious for its costly setbacks and unmet promises. Until we see tangible evidence of SpaceX's AI capabilities, investors should be cautious about betting on this starry-eyed speculation.

  • RJ
    Reporter J. Avery · staff reporter

    The SpaceX hype cycle shows no signs of slowing down, and investors are buying into Elon Musk's vision without fully understanding the risks involved. The company's aggressive foray into artificial intelligence is a classic example of a "Moore's Law" problem - as AI becomes increasingly commoditized, Starlink's high-margin revenue streams could be disrupted. Can SpaceX truly execute on its AI ambitions and become the hub it promises to be? Or will investors be left holding the bag when the market finally catches up with reality?

  • CM
    Columnist M. Reid · opinion columnist

    Wall Street's infatuation with SpaceX is as predictable as it is problematic. While analysts laud the company's potential in AI, they overlook the fundamental flaw in Elon Musk's business model: his inability to monetize space-based assets at scale. SpaceX's satellite internet service is profitable, but its rocket business hemorrhages cash, making it a costly endeavor for investors. Unless Musk can demonstrate tangible ROI on these investments, Wall Street's optimism seems like a wild gamble.

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